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Futures: the most-traded 2510 contract drifts lower. At 10:30 a.m., SS2510 is quoted at 12,930 yuan/mt, down 35 yuan/mt from the previous session. Spot premiums/discounts for 304/2B in Wuxi stand at 290–590 yuan/mt. Spot market: Wuxi cold-rolled 201/2B coil at 8,100 yuan/mt; cold-rolled trimmed 304/2B coil, Wuxi and Foshan both at 13,200 yuan/mt; Wuxi cold-rolled 316L/2B coil at 25,825 yuan/mt, Foshan likewise; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coil at 25,300 yuan/mt in both cities; Wuxi and Foshan cold-rolled 430/2B coil at 7,550 yuan/mt.
The market has officially entered the traditional September-October peak season. The stainless sector widely expects prices to trend higher this month. Although current deals are still heavily swayed by futures swings, overall demand has clearly strengthened versus earlier levels. Social inventory has fallen for the ninth straight week, pulling stock levels back to February lows. Moreover, cost-side prices for high-carbon ferrochrome and high-grade NPI keep rising, further lifting stainless production costs. Buoyed by optimism, September planned stainless output is set to increase, putting greater pressure on end-users’ ability to absorb supply. Meanwhile, the market remains highly sensitive to macro policy and futures moves, leaving uncertainty elevated. The next leg will depend on the pace of demand recovery and the extent to which macro tailwinds materialize.
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